Market validation

Test the market before you commit to it

China market entry for SMEs whose advantage is a brand, a technology, or industrial know-how


We test whether buyers exist at your price. We test whether a partner can actually sell for you. Most companies commit before they know either.

Getting it wrong is expensive and slow to undo. A test costs you weeks. A wrong entry costs you capital, a company structure, and a year

What is China market validation

Validation tests whether successful entry is possible

What we test

Will people buy? Can a partner sell it? Do the numbers work?

When it is done

Before you commit significant resources or make irreversible decisions.

What you get

A go, a no-go, or a sharper question to test next.

Why validation before entry

01

Most companies that fail in China do not fail at execution. They entered the right market with the wrong beliefs. They committed on a promising meeting, a keen distributor, or pressure from the board. The evidence behind it was thin.

02

China is not a cheap place to guess. Setting up a company, signing a distributor and running a first sales cycle costs real money. Doing that in the wrong segment, or with the wrong partner, costs more. We find out while you can still walk away.

03

Entering on confidence alone is not bold. It is expensive. The companies that lasted in China entered with evidence.

Who this is for

China market validation is designed for SMEs whose competitive advantage sits in brand, technology, or industrial know-how - and who are actively considering whether China is the right next move:
You already sell well at home.
A Chinese distributor has approached you, and you cannot tell if the interest is real.
You have been to China, seen the opportunity, and want to test it before you spend.
You tried China once. This time you want evidence, not fresh optimism.
Your board or a competitor is pushing you to enter, and you need facts first.
This validation is not designed for companies in early-stage product development, or for companies without a clear China ambition and the commitment to follow through.

Three things we test

Three major conditions

You will arrive with signs of interest: enquiries, trade fair talk, a keen distributor. That interest is real. It is rarely the same as people buying at your price, in the volumes you need.

The question that matters

Is the interest real at your price, in the volume you need.

How we run it

The output is a decision, not a market report

01

A working business model to test

We write down what has to be true. Buyer segments, how the product is sold, what kind of partner you need.

02

Signals of buyer and partner intent

We test it in China. Channel talks, partner checks, regulatory mapping, and where we can, real buying signals

03

Go, no-go, or a sharper question

We hold the answer against what you believed at the start. Without that discipline, companies in attractive markets carry on regardless.
Entry planning comes after this.: Without a validated case, an entry plan is guesswork.

China entry planning
China market entry

No cure, no pay

And why our recommendation is independent
We earn only if the entry works. If the evidence says no, we say no.
Shaeps is paid on commercial success, not on engagements. A no-go decision costs us the same as a go decision. We have no financial incentive to produce a positive recommendation when the evidence does not support it. A fee-based advisory engagement, by contrast, is paid to deliver a report. The two engagement models will produce different recommendations on the same evidence.

How the no-cure-no-pay model works

What validation looks like in practice

Proof / case snippets